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Stars at Red Wings
NHL

Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV FS-D, FS-SW+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Stars scored first; the Red Wings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 4:59 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 30, DET 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (28 saves, .933), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Bernier28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Mantha1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11101019230
DETDET071739423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    G. Smith(1)
    E. Lindell (4), J. Klingberg (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:44

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(2)
    G. Nyquist (7), M. Green (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:44

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(3)
    N. Kronwall (1), L. Glendening (3)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    4:59
  2. DET
    J. Ericsson(1)
    D. Larkin (4), T. Vanek (2)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:20
  3. DAL
    R. Faksa(2)
    J. Klingberg (6), T. Seguin (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    2-3
    19:23
  4. DET
    J. Abdelkader(1)EN
    T. Daley (2), D. Larkin (5)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    19:36

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·DET 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:05DALRoman Polak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:06DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 14:37DALserved by J. Dowling · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:28DETFrans Nielsen · Boardingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalDAL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 3rd 4:59 — DET 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.90A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.18F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.17M. Green · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.09T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Green · On goal · xG 0.04J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.04F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.03D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.02J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · Goal · xG 0.01M. Green · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bernier · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsDET
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.6
0.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsDET
30
Shots on goal
23
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD022+110.01010—23:58
23E. LindellD011-120.05210—22:38
4M. HeiskanenD000-130.06200—22:35
5C. CarrickD000-320.08030—20:55
91T. SeguinC011030.120005719:55
14J. BennL000040.281023318:04
12R. FaksaC101+120.051102715:38
13M. JanmarkC000-110.04000015:32
90J. SpezzaC000010.060007515:00
37J. DowlingC000-110.122103314:40
6J. HonkaD000020.10000—14:34
45R. PolakD000020.02412—14:30
18T. PitlickC000010.01010013:50
43V. NichushkinR000-110.04110—13:33
15B. ComeauL000-300.20100—13:30
17D. ShoreC000010.0310010012:41
16J. DickinsonC000-200.002003012:16
46G. SmithC101+130.15200011:23
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)22193.8641.75-1.2558:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).