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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 7-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 5:14 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 24, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 2 A), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 3. Patrick Kane (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2101905324
STLSTL21726314737

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:18
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:47
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    5:28
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    1:39
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:14
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    16:59

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    15:40
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:02
  3. STL
    A. Steen(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.12
    3-7
    19:44

Penalties

CHI 15 PIM·STL 7 PIM

1st

  • 9:07CHIBrent Seabrook · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 1:06CHIErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 2:50CHIJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 12:27STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Fortin2 min

3rd

  • 2:52CHIMarcus Kruger · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:38STLIvan Barbashev · Fightingdrawn by Brent Seabrook5 min
  • 18:38CHIBrent Seabrook · Fightingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev5 min
  • 18:38CHIBrent Seabrook · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 2nd 5:14 — STL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.53J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.42R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.24B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.23I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.21P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.21T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.12T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.11A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.05J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.00
STL7 G · 4.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
1.83 G
All situations
6 G4.7
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI20%80%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
7
12
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000000.00010—24:56
56E. GustafssonD000-110.01012—23:19
7B. SeabrookD000-130.16119—23:05
28H. JokiharjuD011-120.03200—22:34
88P. KaneR213+120.25000—21:34
15A. AnisimovC123+210.110103819:38
20B. SaadL011+210.13100—19:03
23B. ManningD000-100.00400—17:01
19J. ToewsC000-230.160103616:30
8N. SchmaltzC000-220.290006714:12
12A. DeBrincatR000-430.26000—13:47
16M. KrugerC000000.000024313:46
24D. KahunC000-310.08000012:09
62L. JohnsonC000020.093005011:48
40J. HaydenC000-110.14010011:31
84A. FortinL000010.11000—11:05
44J. RuttaD000010.00012—09:17
14C. KunitzL000000.00100—08:44
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)36306.8333.74-2.2658:22

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).