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Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, KCOP-13·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 14:26 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, DAL 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 33, DAL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Tyler Pitlick (1 G), 2. Blake Comeau (1 G), 3. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Pitlick1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Comeau1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK09212012233
DALDAL1821312423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:59
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:04
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    14:26
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:09

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    4:23

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:23DALJason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Sheldon Rempal2 min

2nd

  • 18:23LAKAdrian Kempe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min
  • 18:56DALJason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 19:33LAKIlya Kovalchuk · High stickingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

3rd

  • 3:25LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 6:16DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalLAK goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 2nd 14:26 — DAL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.18T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.18T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.17B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.12J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.12B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.12B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.11D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsDAL
2.32 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK52%48%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
23
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
9
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011040.11200—26:49
11A. KopitarC101+130.212005723:47
6J. MuzzinD000-120.15110—20:48
27A. MartinezD000-140.13100—20:40
17I. KovalchukL000-110.19012—20:23
24D. ForbortD000+100.00120—19:02
77J. CarterC000-140.470108218:55
19A. IafalloL000+110.03300—18:30
73T. ToffoliC101020.25010017:06
3D. PhaneufD000-110.03100—16:56
22T. LewisC000-130.11310015:43
61S. WalkerD011020.05000—13:05
70T. PearsonL000010.06200—12:54
10M. AmadioR000-110.190103312:39
41S. RempalR000000.04000—11:07
44N. ThompsonC000030.201102910:31
9A. KempeR000000.000042009:56
13K. CliffordL000-110.11100—09:17
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)23194.8262.26-1.7456:54

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).