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St. Louis Blues at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FS-MW, SN1·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 19:49 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 1.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were STL 25, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.7 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Mike Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Tatar (1 A), 3. Brendan Gallagher (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    M. Reilly1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL03111111225
MTLMTL1101716323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:39

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    3:21
  2. MTL
    M. Reilly(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:42

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    16:31
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +47 pts
    2-3
    19:49

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:56STLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Jordie Benn5 min
  • 1:56MTLJordie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 12:20MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 15:23STLAlexander Steen · Interferencedrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

2nd

  • 0:23STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 2:03MTLCharles Hudon · Interferencedrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 6:25STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 16:18STLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

3rd

  • 3:10MTLJoel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 12:38MTLCharles Hudon · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 15:15MTLMatthew Peca · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalSTL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 3rd 19:49 — MTL 51% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.13T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.12M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.06X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.02P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.01P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 1.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMTL
1.92 G
All situations
3 G1.3
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 1.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
23
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/5
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
19
23
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-110.04280—26:36
90R. O'ReillyC011-110.110005821:41
91V. TarasenkoR011-120.12200—19:50
19J. BouwmeesterD000-100.00032—19:19
55C. ParaykoD000-130.03130—18:44
10B. SchennC101-130.252105618:30
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.01110—18:17
29V. DunnD101030.09110—17:58
20A. SteenL011030.17002—17:19
17J. SchwartzL000-100.00212—17:03
21T. BozakC000030.370007516:56
7P. MaroonL000020.13207—14:24
57D. PerronL011010.21000—13:40
33J. KyrouR000-100.14010—12:05
49I. BarbashevL000-110.0620010011:28
43J. SchmaltzD000000.00120—11:02
9S. BlaisL000010.04400—09:03
12Z. SanfordL000000.091205009:02
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)23203.8701.31-1.6959:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).