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Kings at Maple Leafs
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV FS-W, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 8:32 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were LAK 34, TOR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.2 goals below expected; Garret Sparks stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (2 G), 2. Garret Sparks (33 saves, .971), 3. Auston Matthews (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    K. Kapanen2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    G. Sparks33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK09115010134
TORTOR2101817425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    K. Kapanen(3)
    J. Gardiner (4), A. Matthews (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:46
  2. TOR
    P. Marleau(1)PPG
    J. Leivo (1), J. Gardiner (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    19:38

2nd period

  1. LAK
    I. Kovalchuk(2)
    A. Iafallo (3), D. Forbort (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:38
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(4)
    J. Tavares (5), Z. Hyman (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:32

3rd period

  1. TOR
    K. Kapanen(4)
    A. Matthews (6)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:45

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:23LAKKyle Clifford · High stickingdrawn by Frederik Gauthier2 min
  • 18:11LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Par Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 9:05TORMitch Marner · Slashingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg2 min
  • 12:11TORMitch Marner · Slashingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min

3rd

  • 2:10TORFrederik Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Jaret Anderson-Dolan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalLAK goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 8:32 — TOR 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.14P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.08J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.01P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsTOR
3.41 G
All situations
4 G1.8
2.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK76%24%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsTOR
34
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
26
21
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-220.18210—25:53
11A. KopitarC000-220.592006322:13
27A. MartinezD000000.20140—21:02
6J. MuzzinD000-130.11120—20:05
17I. KovalchukL101-140.3510010019:18
24D. ForbortD011000.00410—18:53
73T. ToffoliC000-140.75000017:30
70T. PearsonL000-130.15200—16:30
3D. PhaneufD000-120.10250—16:22
77J. CarterC000030.294106715:40
19A. IafalloL011-120.04110—15:35
44N. ThompsonC000020.162102014:01
7O. FantenbergD000030.21230—13:53
10M. AmadioR000010.010003312:53
9A. KempeR000010.101125612:48
22T. LewisC000010.02310012:17
28J. Anderson-DolanC000010.090004011:42
13K. CliffordL000000.06102—10:13
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)25214.8401.80-2.2059:45

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).