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Hurricanes at Wild
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Minnesota Wild
4
Final/OTTV FS-CR, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 2:57. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 2:57 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were CAR 57, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.6 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 52 of 57 (.912), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (52 saves, .912), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk52 saves, .912
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR12011621813557
MINMIN150431400423

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(4)
    T. van Riemsdyk (1), J. Williams (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:12
  2. MIN
    C. Coyle(1)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (1), M. Dumba (1)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    16:09

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(2)
    S. Aho (5), T. Teravainen (4)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    15:13

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(1)
    M. Koivu (2), Z. Parise (3)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    1:20
  2. MIN
    J. Zucker(3)PPG
    M. Granlund (1), R. Suter (3)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    5:41
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(3)PPG
    J. Faulk (3), T. Teravainen (5)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    9:22
  4. MIN
    M. Granlund(1)
    Z. Parise (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +39 pts
    3-4
    15:47
  5. CAR
    J. Williams(1)
    J. Faulk (4), S. Aho (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    18:51

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(4)
    J. Williams (6), B. Pesce (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:57

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·MIN 22 PIM

1st

  • 9:02MINJT Brown · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 9:44MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 15:30CARBrett Pesce · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 17:11MINCharlie Coyle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:29CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by JT Brown2 min
  • 4:29MINJT Brown · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 12:39MINCharlie Coyle · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 14:34CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 14:53MINJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 14:53MINJason Zucker · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 19:12CARLucas Wallmark · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 4:50CARJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 7:26MINNick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 11:24MINMatt Hendricks · Slashingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 11:40CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 12:01CARCalvin de Haan · Roughingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 12:01MINEric Staal · Slashingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 16:23MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCAR goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 2:57 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.24J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.12J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.10J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 1.4 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMIN
3.75 G
All situations
4 G1.4
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
2.31 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR85%15%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 1.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMIN
57
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/9
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
22
12
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-160.16110—24:56
11J. StaalC101+220.290005623:25
19D. HamiltonD000-150.35300—23:10
86T. TeravainenC022+240.48000021:50
27J. FaulkD022080.42002—21:37
20S. AhoC224+350.502003120:45
14J. WilliamsR123+360.32100—20:41
22B. PesceD112+320.15112—18:56
79M. FerlandL000+150.531202516:30
37A. SvechnikovR000-120.05106—14:27
44C. de HaanD000-140.09002—14:07
57T. van RiemsdykD011+220.09120—13:52
71L. WallmarkC000-200.001124013:17
23B. McGinnL000000.000005012:37
48J. MartinookL000-240.220105012:22
88M. NecasC000000.000004011:40
13W. FoegeleL000020.0100010011:24
73V. ZykovL000000.00000—04:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. McElhinney(W)23194.8261.41-2.5961:57

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).