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Red Wings at Kings
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
FinalTV FS-D, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul LaDue's goal at 16:14 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 38, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Campbell (36 saves, .947), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G), 3. Ilya Kovalchuk (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Campbell36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    I. Kovalchuk2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET012114112238
LAKLAK0102629425

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(2)
    I. Kovalchuk (1), J. Muzzin (1)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:21
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(1)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (1), D. Cholowski (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:45
  3. LAK
    P. LaDue(1)
    T. Toffoli (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:14

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Iafallo(1)
    I. Kovalchuk (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    9:15
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(1)PPG
    G. Nyquist (3), D. Cholowski (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    16:00
  3. LAK
    A. Iafallo(2)EN
    T. Toffoli (2), A. Martinez (1)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:39

Penalties

DET 25 PIM·LAK 27 PIM

1st

  • 1:33DETTyler Bertuzzi · High sticking double minordrawn by Dion Phaneuf4 min
  • 12:10LAKAlec Martinez · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

2nd

  • 6:16LAKJake Muzzin · Fightingdrawn by Nick Jensen5 min
  • 6:16DETNick Jensen · Fightingdrawn by Jake Muzzin5 min
  • 7:22LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Dennis Cholowski2 min
  • 13:40DETFilip Hronek · Holding the stickdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 13:47LAKJeff Carter · High stickingdrawn by Danny DeKeyser2 min

3rd

  • 5:05LAKDion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 5:05DETTyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 5:05DETFilip Hronek · Misconduct10 min
  • 5:05DETFilip Hronek · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Paul LaDue2 min
  • 5:05LAKPaul LaDue · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 5:05LAKPaul LaDue · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:18LAKAustin Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Libor Sulak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalDET goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Paul LaDue, 2nd 16:14 — LAK 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.59T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06P. LaDue · Goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.03I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsLAK
3.62 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.80 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET80%20%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsLAK
38
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/4
Power play
0/3
25
Penalty minutes
27
20
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
12
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21D. CholowskiD022-240.21020—24:50
65D. DeKeyserD000-130.08340—24:31
3N. JensenD000-210.09015—22:51
47L. SulakD000-220.56520—22:17
71D. LarkinC101-330.320103920:21
72A. AthanasiouC011-230.450104720:00
39A. ManthaR101-350.51400—19:09
14G. NyquistR011-360.54100—18:40
26T. VanekL000-120.28000—17:31
8J. AbdelkaderL000-110.030106717:17
17F. HronekD000020.060014—15:23
59T. BertuzziL000-110.04406—14:36
51F. NielsenC000010.180005714:15
27M. RasmussenC000000.00100013:36
43D. HelmC000020.08000009:52
41L. GlendeningC000010.132105709:20
70C. EhnC000010.040103807:34
83T. DaleyD000000.00000—03:39
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)24213.8751.66-1.3458:18

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).