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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James Neal's goal at 5:40 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 35, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (33 saves, .943), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 3. James Neal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Neal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG03116116235
VGKVGK11021218430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(7)
    B. McNabb (2)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:35

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(13)
    B. Wheeler (16)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:28
  2. VGK
    J. Neal(4)
    E. Haula (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:40
  3. VGK
    A. Tuch(5)
    J. Neal (5), N. Schmidt (4)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:13

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(14)
    K. Connor (7), B. Wheeler (17)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:18
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(8)EN
    B. McNabb (3), M. Fleury (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.77win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:57

Penalties

WPG 22 PIM·VGK 18 PIM

1st

  • 11:10VGKErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 14:50WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 19:35WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

2nd

  • 9:50WPGMark Scheifele · Slashingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 14:39VGKLuca Sbisa · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 17:26WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 17:26VGKRyan Carpenter · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:26WPGBlake Wheeler · Roughingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 17:26VGKCody Eakin · Roughingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 20:00VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 20:00VGKDeryk Engelland · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 20:00VGKLuca Sbisa · Roughingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 20:00WPGBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 20:00WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Deryk Engelland2 min
  • 20:00WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Luca Sbisa2 min
  • 20:00VGKRyan Carpenter · Roughingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 20:00WPGJoel Armia · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 20:00VGKTomas Nosek · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 20:00WPGAndrew Copp · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 20:00WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Luca Sbisa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: James Neal, 2nd 5:40 — VGK 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.77P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.51R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.36A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.29J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.23C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.15J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.09N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.08T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.00L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG62%38%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
35
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
22
Penalty minutes
18
48
Hits
41
18
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-260.22330—27:46
57T. MyersD000-150.11322—20:54
8J. TroubaD000+100.00240—20:50
26B. WheelerR022030.48412—20:35
55M. ScheifeleC202050.922043620:10
29P. LaineL000-220.09310—18:16
25P. StastnyC000-210.173105617:41
44J. MorrisseyD000+120.05232—17:15
18B. LittleC000-210.201005516:33
81K. ConnorL011000.00100—16:25
39T. EnstromD000-100.00010—16:00
13B. TanevL000-120.07300—14:33
85M. PerreaultC000020.073025013:49
7B. ChiarotD000-100.00612—12:37
52J. RoslovicC000-110.07200011:30
17A. LowryC000020.125043610:50
9A. CoppC000010.0121210010:30
40J. ArmiaR000020.06302—08:48
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)29263.8971.95-1.0558:58

Series

VGK leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).