Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rick Nash's goal at 12:33 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 24, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G, 1 A), 2. Rick Nash (2 G), 3. David Pastrnak (4 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Bergeron2 G, 1 A

- ★★R. Nash2 G

- ★★★D. Pastrnak4 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-017:11
2nd period
2-00:42
2-12:31
3-112:33
3-213:22
3rd period
4-23:32
5-210:11
6-213:41
Penalties
1st
- 17:03
Ryan Callahan · Trippingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min
2nd
- 10:17
David Pastrnak · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
- 12:41
Jake DeBrusk · Interferencedrawn by Anton Stralman2 min
3rd
- 11:24
Jake DeBrusk · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Rick Nash, 2nd 12:33 — 66% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.05 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 1.24 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.3
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.27 – 2.59
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 27
- Hits
- 33
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 10
- Giveaways
- 7
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Series
TBL leads 4-1
6@
2this game
2@
4Final
4@
1Final
4@
3OTFinal
1@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
