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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBC, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rick Nash's goal at 12:33 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 24, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G, 1 A), 2. Rick Nash (2 G), 3. David Pastrnak (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    R. Nash2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1132536624
TBLTBL011214011236

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    R. Nash(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    17:11

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    0:42
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:31
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    12:33
  4. TBL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    13:22

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:32
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    10:11
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.76win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    13:41

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:03TBLRyan Callahan · Trippingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min

2nd

  • 10:17BOSDavid Pastrnak · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 12:41BOSJake DeBrusk · Interferencedrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

3rd

  • 11:24BOSJake DeBrusk · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Rick Nash, 2nd 12:33 — BOS 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.15O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.12A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · Goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.05 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.24 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS25%75%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.27 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
33
21
Blocked shots
6
10
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD000+210.04440—22:52
73C. McAvoyD022+200.00510—22:29
86K. MillerD000+320.05210—21:29
63B. MarchandL134+410.07000—19:00
54A. McQuaidD000000.00420—18:13
37P. BergeronC213+450.371105717:35
47T. KrugD000+210.02100—17:31
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.04100—17:18
46D. KrejciC011+120.031103316:38
42D. BackesR000020.05240—15:47
74J. DeBruskL101+120.81214—15:38
88D. PastrnakR044+420.14102—15:21
20R. NashC000-100.000104513:35
43D. HeinenL000010.13030—13:08
61R. NashL202+120.13110—12:55
52S. KuralyC000010.050006012:49
59T. SchallerL000-120.10010—11:49
55N. AcciariC000-100.00200011:27
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)36342.9442.62+0.6259:45

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).