Ducks at Sharks 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

San Jose Sharks

▸2

FinalTV GOLF, PRIME·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 9:09 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 31, SJS 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. John Gibson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Martin Jones stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Jones (30 saves, .968), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Marcus Sorensen (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Jones30 saves, .968
★★
T. Hertl1 G
★★★
M. Sorensen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	010	014	17	131
SJS	19	06	19	224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Sorensen(3)
B. Burns (1), M. Karlsson (3)
wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
0-1
5:43

3rd period

A. Cogliano(1)
R. Kesler (2), J. Silfverberg (1)
wristxG 0.16win prob +28 pts
1-1
7:53
T. Hertl(3)
M. Vlasic (2)
deflectedxG 0.07win prob +30 pts
1-2
9:09

Penalties

6 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

15:14Hampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

7:13Joe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
10:18Nick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
13:02Timo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
19:00Eric Fehr · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

2:03Brandon Montour · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
4:35Melker Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by Andy Welinski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SJS

100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 9:09 — SJS 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att SJS

2 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.41 G
All situations: 2 G2.0; 1.81 G
Even strength: 2 G1.1; 0.60 G
Power play: 0 G0.5; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

66%34%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 24; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/4
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 8; 27
Hits: 28; 19
Blocked shots: 19; 8
Giveaways: 9; 6
Takeaways: 12

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
26B. MontourD	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	2	—	28:32
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	4	2	—	24:22
15R. GetzlafC	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	4	2	0	22	23:45
23F. BeaucheminD	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	2	0	—	21:22
42J. MansonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	—	21:12
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	3	1	0	50	20:38
10C. PerryR	0	0	0	-2	5	0.90	0	0	0	—	19:59
67R. RakellR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	3	1	0	—	19:44
17R. KeslerC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	1	0	58	19:36
33J. SilfverbergR	0	1	1	+1	4	0.27	1	2	0	—	17:25
7A. CoglianoC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	2	0	0	0	15:09
25O. KaseR	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	2	0	100	14:47
37N. RitchieL	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	2	—	12:22
65M. PetterssonD	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	10:02
73A. WelinskiD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	09:29
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	71	07:29
20J. ChimeraL	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	04:55
71J. BrownR	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	—	04:51

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(L)	24	22	2	.917	1.53	-0.47	58:21

Series

SJS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score