Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 16:17 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were ANA 27, ARI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Antti Raanta (24 saves, .923).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-010:54
2nd period
2-016:17
3rd period
3-019:56
Penalties
1st
- 1:28
Andrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
- 8:06
Luke Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
- 8:06
Nick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
- 10:47
Brad Richardson · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
- 18:12
Francois Beauchemin · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
2nd
- 5:53
Corey Perry · Clippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 5:53
Corey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Brad Richardson5 min
- 5:53
Brad Richardson · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
- 13:29
Francois Beauchemin · Holding the stickdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
3rd
- 3:00
Alex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 16:17 — 69% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.32 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.6
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.56
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 14
- Hits
- 23
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 1
- Giveaways
- 9
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
