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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:34 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 31, WPG 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jeff Glass stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (2 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, .968), 3. Patrick Sharp.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Copp2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Sharp

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI06111014131
WPGWPG111315013439

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler (68), P. Laine (26)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    15:12

2nd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:34
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry (13), B. Tanev (10)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    3:56
  3. WPG
    A. Copp(9)SHG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    6:35
  4. CHI
    P. Kane (49), C. Murphy (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:08

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:43CHIJan Rutta · Holdingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 14:12CHINick Schmaltz · Slashingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 14:59CHIAndreas Martinsen · Boardingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

2nd

  • 0:45CHIConnor Murphy · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 4:40WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 0:34 — WPG 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.31A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.30K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.18D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.15M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.12M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11B. Little · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.03J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.02A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 4.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
1.81 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI17%83%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
9
Hits
8
24
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. SeabrookD101-120.04050—21:47
2D. KeithD000-100.00060—20:21
55B. HillmanD000010.01020—20:01
56E. GustafssonD000-110.05010—19:38
5C. MurphyD011-110.02122—19:22
8N. SchmaltzC000+120.390125819:09
44J. RuttaD000020.02022—18:01
88P. KaneR011030.25010—17:09
10P. SharpL000-160.330005015:55
15A. AnisimovC000-100.000002215:32
20B. SaadL000030.280103814:53
64D. KampfC000000.002104314:48
12A. DeBrincatR000-220.12010—14:14
82J. OesterleD000010.10200—13:19
29A. MartinsenL000020.03302—13:10
48V. HinostrozaC000010.03000013:03
14V. EjdsellC000-130.081102511:29
95D. SikuraR000-210.01000—11:09
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Glass(L)39354.8973.99-0.0160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).