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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Cammalleri's goal at 10:07 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 55% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 4.0; shots on goal were VGK 33, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 A), 2. Ty Rattie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Talbot (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    T. Rattie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Talbot30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK09211113333
EDMEDM18013312433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(23)
    T. Rattie (4), C. McDavid (63)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:03

2nd period

  1. VGK
    B. McNabb(5)
    P. Bellemare (10), R. Carpenter (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:00
  2. VGK
    B. Pirri(3)
    A. Tuch (22)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:47

3rd period

  1. EDM
    M. Benning(6)
    R. Strome (21), D. Caggiula (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    1:49
  2. EDM
    M. Cammalleri(7)PPG
    C. McDavid (64), L. Draisaitl (45)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    10:07
  3. EDM
    T. Rattie(5)
    C. McDavid (65)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:15
  4. VGK
    O. Lindberg(9)
    S. Theodore (23)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    3-4
    14:37

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:45VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Anton Slepyshev2 min
  • 15:17EDMMatt Benning · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 3:13VGKErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
  • 8:46VGKDeryk Engelland · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:12EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Trippingdrawn by James Neal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Cammalleri, 3rd 10:07 — EDM 55% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.39M. Cammalleri · Goal · xG 0.34D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.22M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.17T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.15D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.13D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.10M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.10K. Lowe · On goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.08D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.08T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.07M. Benning · Goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06K. Lowe · Missed · xG 0.06A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rattie · Goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04K. Lowe · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.03K. Lowe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
4.03 G
All situations
4 G4.4
2.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.92 – 3.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD101+230.16110—23:31
27S. TheodoreD011-130.10000—20:39
6C. MillerD000-130.09000—19:50
71W. KarlssonC000020.270005519:17
5D. EngellandD000-200.00102—18:42
15J. MerrillD000-110.02110—18:27
89A. TuchR011+110.4400010017:18
73B. PirriC101+140.71100016:43
2Z. WhitecloudD000+300.00010—16:42
18J. NealL000-230.22010—16:24
41P. BellemareL011020.110101416:17
56E. HaulaL000-120.273124716:15
90T. TatarL000-200.00000—15:04
40R. CarpenterC011+220.631005013:59
28W. CarrierL000+150.52302—13:12
92T. NosekL000010.1500010012:20
24O. LindbergL101+110.262007511:03
75R. ReavesR000-100.0021010010:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)33294.8794.01+0.0158:12

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).