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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-N, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Wild scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Kase's goal at 16:04 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 27, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Ryan Miller stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (26 saves, .963), 2. Ondrej Kase (1 G), 3. Josh Manson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Miller26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    ANA
    O. Kase1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Manson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01311004127
ANAANA01118211330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(13)PPG
    J. Brodin (15), J. Zucker (31)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    6:08
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:55

3rd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    1-2
    16:04
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.89win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    17:47

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:39MINJason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

2nd

  • 0:53MINNick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 2:09ANAOndrej Kase · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 5:16ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 8:49MINJonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

3rd

  • 19:31ANAFrancois Beauchemin · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Kase, 3rd 16:04 — ANA 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.89F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.46B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.21A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.12O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.12J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA3 G · 3.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
27
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD101-140.10120—26:50
25J. BrodinD011-120.03102—24:28
36N. SeelerD000000.00032—20:12
6R. MurphyD000000.00000—19:19
9M. KoivuC000-130.180004719:06
64M. GranlundC000-100.00000018:34
11Z. PariseL000-100.00200—18:26
39N. ProsserD000-230.10120—15:06
16J. ZuckerL011-110.01022—14:47
3C. CoyleC000-110.083004514:25
60C. SoucyD000-200.00220—14:13
12E. StaalC000-260.300006413:37
26D. WinnikL000030.1011010013:31
22N. NiederreiterR000-110.15100—13:19
7M. CullenC000-100.201102012:30
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.002006712:27
18J. GreenwayL000-110.07310—12:24
17M. FolignoL000020.08200—10:56
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)29272.9312.29+0.2959:50

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).