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Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV TSN2, TSN3·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 3:00. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 3:00 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 32, MTL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Steve Mason stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Carey Price stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 2. Paul Byron (1 G), 3. Jeff Petry (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    P. Byron1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Petry2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG2101811113532
MTLMTL01011431402440

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(44)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    12:25
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:19

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    15:58
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.24win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    19:00

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:19
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    10:15
  3. WPG
    K. Connor (25), A. Copp (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +33 pts
    4-3
    10:39
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    18:18

Overtime

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.26win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    3:00

Penalties

WPG 24 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:11MTLBrett Lernout · Holdingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 11:47MTLLogan Shaw · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 19:03WPGJoel Armia · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

2nd

  • 5:20WPGDustin Byfuglien · Trippingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
  • 11:06WPGBrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Kerby Rychel2 min
  • 11:06MTLKerby Rychel · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 12:18WPGMathieu Perreault · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

3rd

  • 4:47WPGTyler Myers · Boardingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min
  • 4:47WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 4:47MTLMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 17:47WPGDustin Byfuglien · Slashingdrawn by Kerby Rychel2 min
  • 18:18WPGDustin Byfuglien · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 3:00 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.38P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.26A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.24B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.19A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.12L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10K. Rychel · Goal · xG 0.09P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rychel · Missed · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Schlemko · Missed · xG 0.03J. de la Rose · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.03J. de la Rose · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lernout · On goal · xG 0.02J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Scherbak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Schlemko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lernout · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lernout · On goal · xG 0.00M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
2.45 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG28%72%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
40
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
1/5
24
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. ChiarotD000000.04110—23:40
33D. ByfuglienD011-130.063314—22:49
57T. MyersD011+110.18034—22:48
70J. MorrowD000010.02110—19:54
27N. EhlersL101-150.46100—18:35
18B. LittleC000020.011005017:36
29P. LaineL101-110.05300—17:34
25P. StastnyC011-100.010105017:12
9A. CoppC011+130.361003916:22
40J. ArmiaR000020.14132—16:13
3T. PoolmanD011+110.02410—16:10
81K. ConnorL123+230.45000—15:40
83S. NikuD101020.17030—15:13
85M. PerreaultC000010.00802014:57
52J. RoslovicC112+230.19100014:40
13B. TanevL000010.01312—11:43
16S. MatthiasL000020.171101409:02
56M. DanoC000010.02310008:25
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Mason(W)40364.9003.77-0.2363:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).