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Capitals at Blues
NHL

Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-MW·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Blues scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 7:54 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 34, STL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Braden Holtby (34 saves, .944), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brayden Schenn.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Holtby34 saves, .944
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH08315111434
STLSTL17114015236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(32)
    K. Brodziak (19), A. Pietrangelo (38)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:38

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(20)
    B. Connolly (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:51
  2. WSH
    A. Chiasson(9)
    J. Jerabek (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:39
  3. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(11)
    N. Backstrom (47), B. Orpik (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:54
  4. STL
    P. Berglund(14)
    K. Brodziak (20), R. Bortuzzo (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    11:38

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(46)EN
    E. Kuznetsov (54), N. Backstrom (48)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    18:29

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:24WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 3:47STLJaden Schwartz · Holdingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 19:50WSHMatt Niskanen · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min

3rd

  • 8:51WSHJakub Vrana · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 10:48WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 17:53STLKyle Brodziak · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWSH goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 2nd 7:54 — WSH 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.20V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.20B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.15K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.10V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.10K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06P. Berglund · Goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.06P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.05P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.05P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSTL
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH51%49%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
16
25
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000-110.02024—22:58
2M. NiskanenD000-100.00142—22:45
74J. CarlsonD000010.01070—22:26
43T. WilsonR000-250.45610—19:18
44B. OrpikD011+220.01230—18:54
19N. BackstromC123+230.290105018:10
6M. KempnyD000020.03230—17:54
20L. EllerC000020.040104217:29
8A. OvechkinL101-250.94110—16:56
92E. KuznetsovC011-210.200103616:55
65A. BurakovskyL101+230.28010—15:14
25D. Smith-PellyR000030.41000—14:30
28J. JerabekD011+200.02000—13:07
10B. ConnollyR011+220.19000—12:43
39A. ChiassonR101+130.17000—11:51
18C. StephensonC000+100.000006711:32
13J. VranaL000+100.20102—10:03
63S. GersichL000010.01000—10:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)36342.9442.67+0.6759:12

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).