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Sharks at Golden Knights
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, NBCSCA·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 8:35 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 31, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 2. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11411007231
VGKVGK110116112338

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(6)
    W. Karlsson (33), D. Engelland (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:21
  2. SJS
    J. Pavelski(21)
    T. Meier (15), J. Donskoi (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:14

2nd period

  1. VGK
    O. Lindberg(8)
    S. Theodore (21)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:03
  2. SJS
    M. Vlasic(11)
    J. Pavelski (42), J. Braun (28)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:50

3rd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(42)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.30win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    8:35

Penalties

SJS 28 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:41SJSEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 7:32VGKErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 5:41SJSKevin Labanc · High stickingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 19:47SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

3rd

  • 7:35VGKJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 12:45SJSEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 20:00SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Game misconduct10 min
  • 20:00SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSJS goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, 3rd 8:35 — VGK 47% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.30A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.23J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.17T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.11S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lindberg · Goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK3 G · 3.2 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsVGK
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS29%71%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
38
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/4
28
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
44
23
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. VlasicD101020.102620—26:18
61J. BraunD011030.08240—23:52
88B. BurnsD000030.09032—22:04
8J. PavelskiC112+120.293205019:36
39L. CoutureC000-220.060105019:10
48T. HertlC000-110.121205318:21
9E. KaneL000-140.22104—18:10
50C. TierneyC000000.000001816:09
4B. DillonD000-120.03120—15:15
89M. BoedkerL000-100.15000—15:11
27J. DonskoiR011+110.06100—15:02
7P. MartinD000+110.02200—14:46
28T. MeierR011+150.37110—14:03
62K. LabancR000-110.10102—13:37
74D. DeMeloD000-100.00110—13:29
42J. WardR000010.192104309:43
68M. KarlssonC000000.0010010009:29
20M. SorensenL000030.14300—09:04
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)38353.9213.23+0.2358:41

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).