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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 15:35 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 22, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Jack Campbell stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (3 G), 2. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dustin Brown.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Carter3 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Brown

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI191607222
LAKLAK17116212435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    M. Domi (30)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:26
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:32

2nd period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:14
  2. LAK
    J. Carter(12)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    11:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.06win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    15:35
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.42win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:31LAKTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 10:28ARIAlex Goligoski · Interferencedrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 16:27ARIJakob Chychrun · High sticking double minordrawn by Tanner Pearson4 min

3rd

  • 10:35LAKNate Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 18:44ARIMax Domi · High stickingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 19:19LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 3rd 15:35 — LAK 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.42A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.31D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.19T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.11J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI40%60%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
22
Shots on goal
35
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-230.08100—24:51
33A. GoligoskiD000-200.02022—24:37
6J. ChychrunD000-120.19214—21:51
2L. SchennD000000.00520—20:40
21D. StepanC000-110.030304418:54
16M. DomiC112+120.14002017:02
18C. DvorakC011+110.000003216:35
9C. KellerR000-110.2000010016:18
15B. RichardsonR000010.010006916:12
14R. PanikR000000.01300—15:14
48J. MartinookL000000.19420—15:13
44K. ConnautonD101+110.10110—14:59
34Z. RinaldoC000+120.18700013:46
25N. CousinsC000020.111005013:21
46T. MurphyD011+100.07110—13:10
20D. StromeC000-120.330003811:09
11B. PerliniL000-110.08100—10:48
36C. FischerR000-130.36100—09:52
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)34313.9122.67-0.3358:51

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).