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Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV FS-SW+, NBCSP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Alexander Radulov scoring at 0:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 0:40 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 33, DAL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kari Lehtonen (31 saves, .939), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 A), 3. Radek Faksa (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    K. Lehtonen31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI1111801400233
DALDAL110150612323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:50
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:51

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:03
  2. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:11

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:40

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:22PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 5:31DALKari Lehtonen · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 9:52PHIAndrew MacDonald · Delaying game2 min
  • 20:00PHIWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 20:00DALMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

3rd

  • 5:13DALStephen Johns · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, OT 0:40 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.18A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.17T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.12T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.11T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.11R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.09J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.07R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Methot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Methot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
3.42 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI70%30%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101+230.23032—22:54
93J. VoracekR000010.21000—21:21
53S. GostisbehereD022+120.15040—20:57
28C. GirouxR011-150.380007320:33
14S. CouturierC000-120.271003620:24
47A. MacDonaldD000000.00122—20:14
3R. GudasD000-120.05010—18:38
23B. ManningD000-140.20010—18:35
54O. LindblomL000+110.11120—18:29
19N. PatrickC000020.271005918:08
11T. KonecnyR101-130.43300—17:11
6T. SanheimD000030.02010—15:37
17W. SimmondsR011+120.70302—15:08
40J. WealC000+120.210005013:15
51V. FilppulaC000+110.110004410:34
15J. LehteraC000000.0021010009:31
24M. ReadR000000.00000—08:32
21S. LaughtonC000000.000005007:40
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(O)23203.8702.15-0.8560:40

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).