Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Alexander Radulov scoring at 0:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 0:40 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 33, DAL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kari Lehtonen (31 saves, .939), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 A), 3. Radek Faksa (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Lehtonen31 saves, .939

- ★★S. Gostisbehere2 A

- ★★★R. Faksa1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-110:50
1-116:51
2nd period
2-12:03
2-210:11
Overtime
2-30:40
Penalties
1st
- 1:22
Ivan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
- 5:31
Kari Lehtonen · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
2nd
- 9:52
Andrew MacDonald · Delaying game2 min
- 20:00
Wayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
- 20:00
Mattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
3rd
- 5:13
Stephen Johns · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexander Radulov, OT 0:40 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.42 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.1
- 2.62 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.12
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 12
- Hits
- 22
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 6
- Giveaways
- 5
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
2OTFinal
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
