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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV FS-W, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:08 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 29, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G), 2. Jeff Carter (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pontus Aberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    P. Aberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1911604229
EDMEDM2111709327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:45
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:32
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:00

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:08
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.29win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:19

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:39EDMEthan Bear · Slashingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 19:51LAKTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 3:33LAKTrevor Lewis · Slashingdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 4:08 — EDM 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.48C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.46C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · Goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.04I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.04I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.03P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK33%67%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
27
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
38
Hits
26
7
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-110.13010—26:44
11A. KopitarC000-230.081206923:36
23D. BrownR000-110.12200—23:08
6J. MuzzinD101+110.05100—20:20
27A. MartinezD000-130.10220—19:55
24D. ForbortD000-120.03200—19:48
3D. PhaneufD000-200.04410—19:05
77J. CarterC112+130.544005017:47
70T. PearsonL022+130.20100—15:31
73T. ToffoliC000-100.00102014:35
5C. FolinD000+220.01510—14:08
22T. LewisC000040.26202013:28
19A. IafalloL000-210.06200—13:16
9A. KempeR000000.062005013:02
13K. CliffordL000030.06600—12:54
10T. RiederL011+110.00100—10:34
44N. ThompsonC000010.121006309:57
52M. AmadioR000000.001007509:26
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)27243.8892.85-0.1558:46

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).