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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Berglund's goal at 4:44 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were VAN 20, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Patrik Berglund (2 G), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Berglund2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0121503120
STLSTL14111210425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:40

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    0-2
    4:44
  2. VAN
    H. Sedin (43), D. Sedin (29)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:47

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    0:14
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:31

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:21VANJussi Jokinen · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 19:01VANSam Gagner · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 2:55STLTage Thompson · Interferencedrawn by Reid Boucher2 min
  • 12:40STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

3rd

  • 9:34VANAlexander Edler · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 19:10STLTage Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Patrik Berglund, 2nd 4:44 — STL 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Berglund · Goal · xG 0.23D. Jaskin · Goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.16D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.12J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09C. Thorburn · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.04P. Berglund · Goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
1.21 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN26%74%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.18 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-150.07032—26:04
53B. HorvatC000-110.081205221:36
8C. TanevD000-100.01040—20:35
4M. Del ZottoD000010.01120—20:11
89S. GagnerC101020.150026020:06
51T. StecherD000-100.07110—19:05
22D. SedinL011000.00000—18:49
20B. SutterC000-110.010003117:58
33H. SedinC011000.000005017:29
5D. PouliotD000-220.10310—15:18
55A. BiegaD000010.06420—14:38
77N. GoldobinR000-100.07000—14:28
64T. MotteC000-110.04410012:56
18J. VirtanenR000-210.15100—12:43
24R. BoucherC000-230.19100012:19
49D. ArchibaldR000-100.00000—12:04
36J. JokinenL000-110.130025011:29
17N. DowdC000010.04110006:22
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)25214.8402.40-1.6059:50

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).