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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 5:53 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MIN 3.0, VGK 3.0; shots on goal were MIN 30, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Haula (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Dumba (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    E. Haula1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11121316430
VGKVGK0807213228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(29)
    N. Niederreiter (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:19

2nd period

  1. MIN
    C. Coyle(11)
    M. Cullen (11), J. Brodin (12)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:53
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(11)
    J. Zucker (27), E. Staal (32)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:36

3rd period

  1. VGK
    E. Haula(28)
    D. Perron (48), C. Miller (29)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    3-1
    13:28
  2. VGK
    R. Carpenter(9)
    D. Perron (49), E. Haula (23)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +5 pts
    3-2
    19:04
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(8)EN
    M. Koivu (27), M. Granlund (39)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:26

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:13MINZach Parise · Holdingdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 14:04VGKTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 16:01MINZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

2nd

  • 10:15VGKJonathan Marchessault · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 16:35VGKJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

3rd

  • 11:27MINZack Mitchell · Interferencedrawn by James Neal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 2nd 5:53 — MIN 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.23R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.22W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.18J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.17E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.13E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.13R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.12S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.06J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.04C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
30
Shots on goal
28
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
41
18
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+110.07320—29:02
24M. DumbaD101040.25420—28:11
12E. StaalC011020.131103820:35
25J. BrodinD011+200.00240—20:21
16J. ZuckerL112030.39210—20:15
9M. KoivuC011+120.082004419:54
64M. GranlundC011+110.10100019:54
6R. MurphyD000+100.00100—19:17
3C. CoyleC101010.080204316:27
11Z. PariseL101+171.17014—16:19
22N. NiederreiterR011+230.23110—15:30
39N. ProsserD000-100.00130—12:14
7M. CullenC011+120.130005011:26
63T. EnnisR000+120.25000—10:43
36N. SeelerD000+100.00010—09:32
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.063003309:10
59Z. MitchellR000-110.0100210007:57
17M. FolignoL000000.00300—07:13
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)28262.9292.99+0.9960:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).