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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 2-0. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikkel Boedker's goal at 12:12 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 54% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.7 to 0.8; shots on goal were STL 16, SJS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikkel Boedker (1 G), 2. Martin Jones (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Jake Allen (34 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Boedker1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Jones16 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Allen34 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0401002016
SJSSJS09012215236

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. SJS
    M. Boedker(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +32 pts
    0-1
    12:12
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(16)EN
    snapxG 0.47win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:45

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

2nd

  • 4:58STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

3rd

  • 4:12SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min
  • 10:30STLKyle Brodziak · Holding the stickdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Mikkel Boedker, 3rd 12:12 — SJS 54% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.47K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.15T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
0.80 G
All situations
1 G2.7
0.70 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL20%80%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.81 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
16
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
22
23
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-120.04000—26:57
55C. ParaykoD000010.00130—25:35
29V. DunnD000-100.00012—21:56
4C. GunnarssonD000010.02140—20:58
10B. SchennC000-110.093105620:51
17J. SchwartzL000-110.122305020:27
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.05120—19:23
71V. SobotkaC000010.052004018:11
20A. SteenL000-110.08000—17:54
21P. BerglundC000000.006206016:28
28K. BrodziakC000040.171223615:44
23D. JaskinR000000.11620—14:16
49I. BarbashevL000000.041106713:15
41R. BortuzzoD000010.00220—12:20
43J. SchmaltzD000000.00100—10:58
90N. SoshnikovR000010.02100—09:38
32T. ThompsonC000000.00000006:58
70O. SundqvistC000000.00000005:46
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)35341.9712.26+1.2658:43

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).