Coyotes at Canucks 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Utah Mammoth

▸2

Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FS-A, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Stepan's goal at 19:02 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 34, VAN 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jacob Markstrom (32 saves, .941), 3. Derek Stepan (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Keller1 G, 1 A
★★
J. Markstrom32 saves, .941
★★★
D. Stepan1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ARI	116	08	110	234
VAN	17	04	06	117

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

C. Keller(18)PPG
B. Perlini (9), O. Ekman-Larsson (25)
wristxG 0.34win prob +15 pts
1-0
18:20
J. Jokinen(2)
B. Leipsic (15), S. Gagner (17)
wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
1-1
19:44

3rd period

D. Stepan(12)
C. Keller (30), B. Perlini (10)
wristxG 0.11win prob +46 pts
2-1
19:02

Penalties

2 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

16:12Daniel Sedin · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
16:42Darren Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

18:56Nick Cousins · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
19:34Henrik Sedin · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VAN

Biggest swing: Derek Stepan, 3rd 19:02 — ARI 49% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att VAN

1 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.42 G
All situations: 1 G1.9; 2.51 G
Even strength: 1 G1.5; 0.91 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

72%28%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 17; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 1/3
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 6; 19
Hits: 35; 11
Blocked shots: 19; 1
Giveaways: 8; 5
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Utah Mammoth skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4N. HjalmarssonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	0	2	0	—	22:42
23O. Ekman-LarssonD	0	1	1	0	5	0.26	1	1	0	—	21:34
55J. DemersD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	21:31
6J. ChychrunD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	—	20:44
9C. KellerR	1	1	2	+1	4	0.65	0	0	0	—	18:36
25N. CousinsC	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	2	17	18:27
15B. RichardsonR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	1	0	36	18:21
11B. PerliniL	0	2	2	+1	3	0.93	2	0	0	—	17:30
48J. MartinookL	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	—	16:27
21D. StepanC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	2	1	0	65	16:24
44K. ConnautonD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	—	16:10
2L. SchennD	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	6	1	0	—	15:41
16M. DomiC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	100	14:21
18C. DvorakC	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	1	0	67	14:10
14R. PanikR	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	1	2	0	—	13:56
36C. FischerR	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	0	0	—	11:23
12L. DauphinC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	50	10:05
45J. ArchibaldR	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	—	10:00

Utah Mammoth goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35D. Kuemper(W)	17	16	1	.941	1.94	+0.94	59:58

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score