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Red Wings at Wild
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 7:22 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 35% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 29, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.8 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (1 G), 2. Nick Seeler, 3. Devan Dubnyk (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    N. Seeler
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1110909129
MINMIN0521428427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Abdelkader(11)
    J. Ericsson (9), D. Larkin (39)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:58

2nd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(34)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (25), R. Suter (38)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:22
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(5)
    M. Koivu (24), N. Niederreiter (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:15

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(27)
    M. Granlund (36), R. Suter (39)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:42
  2. MIN
    J. Zucker(28)EN
    M. Dumba (26)
    wristxG 0.87win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:22

Penalties

DET 13 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:09MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:06DETDarren Helm · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 14:06MINJason Zucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 17:25DETAnthony Mantha · Elbowingdrawn by Nate Prosser2 min

2nd

  • 6:41DETLuke Witkowski · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 6:41MINNick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min
  • 6:41DETDavid Booth · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 2:45MINLuke Kunin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:39DETDarren Helm · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDET goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 7:22 — MIN 35% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.87Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.17C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.14M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05D. Winnik · Missed · xG 0.05N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.00T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMIN
2.01 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
1
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000-210.06110—21:07
83T. DaleyD000020.04000—20:40
40H. ZetterbergC000-120.190204619:56
8J. AbdelkaderL101-110.3001010019:52
3N. JensenD000-110.10000—19:11
25M. GreenD000020.03020—19:06
51F. NielsenC000020.110405018:58
55N. KronwallD000-110.04310—18:48
71D. LarkinC011-160.231005517:46
39A. ManthaR000-120.1910210017:35
52J. EricssonD011010.04030—17:14
14G. NyquistR000-120.20100—17:13
59T. BertuzziL000-110.06200—15:11
43D. HelmC000010.05104015:01
72A. AthanasiouC000-120.13100014:59
41L. GlendeningC000010.233105011:23
28L. WitkowskiD000000.00305—05:25
17D. BoothL000010.00002—04:29
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)26233.8852.20-0.8059:25

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).