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Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-3. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Toews's goal at 18:02 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 55% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 25, LAK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jonathan Quick stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 A), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1708410525
LAKLAK01131407332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:11

2nd period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:27
  2. LAK
    D. Brown (26), A. Kopitar (44)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:21
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:48

3rd period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews (25), P. Kane (37)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    10:48
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    14:24
  3. CHI
    J. Toews(17)PPG
    P. Kane (38), B. Seabrook (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +37 pts
    4-3
    18:02
  4. CHI
    P. Kane(24)EN
    B. Saad (13), J. Toews (26)
    wristxG 0.75win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    19:57

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

2nd

  • 0:14LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 7:57CHIAlex DeBrincat · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 18:50CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

3rd

  • 4:54LAKJake Muzzin · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 8:32LAKDrew Doughty · Hookingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 8:32LAKDrew Doughty · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 17:25LAKTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCHI goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Toews, 3rd 18:02 — CHI 55% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.35T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.20T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.11J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.11A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.11J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.05T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsLAK
4.34 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI49%51%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
7
Hits
34
10
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. SeabrookD011+120.03100—24:38
2D. KeithD000-300.00000—23:29
88P. KaneR123021.48000—21:13
20B. SaadL011041.01100—21:01
19J. ToewsC123040.371024520:59
5C. MurphyD000-300.16030—19:13
8N. SchmaltzC000+220.150002716:27
63C. DahlstromD000+200.00000—16:15
15A. AnisimovC101-110.470005515:40
56E. GustafssonD000+110.01210—15:39
64D. KampfC000-110.111005713:59
82J. OesterleD101+220.09040—13:42
91A. DuclairL000-110.14010—13:25
12A. DeBrincatR000+210.1200210012:45
48V. HinostrozaC101+210.0700010012:38
36M. HighmoreC000-110.04110012:17
10P. SharpL000-120.04000—11:35
13T. JurcoR000-100.00000—11:08
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)32293.9062.57-0.4359:57

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).