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Predators at Canucks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Vancouver Canucks
3
Final/OTTV FS-TN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Calle Jarnkrok scoring at 0:43. The Predators came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 0:43 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.7, VAN 2.6; shots on goal were NSH 43, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Jacob Markstrom stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Daniel Sedin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexander Edler (2 A), 3. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    D. Sedin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. Edler2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH01311521411443
VANVAN1111101600327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(18)PPG
    A. Edler (23), D. Sedin (25)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:55

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Sutter(6)
    B. Boeser (26), D. Archibald (2)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:04
  2. NSH
    M. Fisher(1)
    F. Forsberg (28), V. Arvidsson (23)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:26

3rd period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(21)
    K. Turris (25), M. Ekholm (20)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    10:02
  2. VAN
    D. Sedin(21)PPG
    H. Sedin (41), A. Edler (24)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    11:54
  3. NSH
    R. Ellis(5)
    P. Subban (34), C. Jarnkrok (19)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    17:45

Overtime

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(16)
    V. Arvidsson (24), R. Ellis (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:43

Penalties

NSH 21 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:49NSHAlexei Emelin · Trippingdrawn by Darren Archibald2 min
  • 9:11NSHRyan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 11:29VANMichael Del Zotto · Boardingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min

2nd

  • 18:44NSHMiikka Salomaki · Interferencedrawn by Sam Gagner2 min

3rd

  • 1:08VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 9:28NSHRyan Johansen · Spearingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 9:28VANBrandon Sutter · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 9:28NSHRyan Johansen · Game misconductdrawn by Erik Gudbranson10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, OT 0:43 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.35J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.27B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.18J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.14D. Sedin · Goal · xG 0.14A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.11D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.10D. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.09D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.08H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.04B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
43
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
2/5
21
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. EllisD112+150.11010—27:21
14M. EkholmD011+210.03200—25:54
76P. SubbanD011+140.07130—22:54
25A. EmelinD000010.03222—19:47
33V. ArvidssonL022+240.16000—19:29
9F. ForsbergL011+140.24520—18:29
13N. BoninoC000-120.400005816:30
8K. TurrisC011+120.230003816:22
22K. FialaL101+120.29000—15:19
38R. HartmanR000020.29002—14:57
92R. JohansenC000020.1510154214:53
19C. JarnkrokC112+130.1401010014:14
10C. SissonsC000+110.053002513:46
51A. WatsonL000010.0831010011:42
52M. IrwinD000+110.04210—11:36
12M. FisherC101+230.282008510:45
2A. BitettoD000020.02120—10:33
20M. SalomakiR000-130.09302—08:33
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)27243.8892.57-0.4360:42

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).