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Red Wings at Blues
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
St. Louis Blues
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scottie Upshall's goal at 1:12 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 36, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Carter Hutton stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hutton (35 saves, .972), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Hutton35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET01508113136
STLSTL0811215225

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    S. Upshall(7)
    C. Parayko (25), K. Brodziak (12)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(11)
    J. Schwartz (27), B. Schenn (33)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    14:37
  2. DET
    A. Athanasiou(13)
    T. Bertuzzi (10)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    18:15

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:58STLScottie Upshall · Hookingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 14:02DETMartin Frk · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Soshnikov2 min

2nd

  • 13:52STLNikita Soshnikov · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 18:41STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 18:41DETAndreas Athanasiou · Embellishment2 min
  • 19:57STLCarter Hutton · Slashingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 19:57DETJustin Abdelkader · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hutton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDET goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Scottie Upshall, 2nd 1:12 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Upshall · Goal · xG 0.23N. Soshnikov · On goal · xG 0.23C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.20A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Upshall · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.1 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsSTL
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET62%38%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsSTL
36
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
8
7
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
23
2
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
83T. DaleyD000020.19020—22:47
14G. NyquistR000-130.25000—21:20
40H. ZetterbergC000040.250105921:18
8J. AbdelkaderL000-120.59002—20:48
71D. LarkinC000+160.440005820:34
39A. ManthaR000-130.2110010019:51
52J. EricssonD000-120.05100—19:35
65D. DeKeyserD000-110.00000—19:21
3N. JensenD000-120.09000—18:22
55N. KronwallD000010.01020—18:22
51F. NielsenC000-120.070003016:53
43D. HelmC000-110.01210015:41
59T. BertuzziL011+100.18020—14:36
61X. OuelletD000000.01110—13:56
72A. AthanasiouC101+130.18012013:32
41L. GlendeningC000010.012107010:14
42M. FrkR000+120.12002—08:44
17D. BoothL000010.08000—04:02
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)25232.9202.15+0.1556:45

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).