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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

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New York Islanders
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
FinalTV MSG+, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Islanders scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Drouin's goal at 8:29 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 55% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 28, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.3 goals below expected; Antti Niemi stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Niemi (27 saves, .964), 2. Jonathan Drouin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Niemi27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1110908128
MTLMTL11121005326

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(18)
    J. Eberle (24), T. Hickey (14)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:50
  2. MTL
    P. Byron(15)
    A. Lehkonen (7), J. Drouin (22)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:02

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Drouin(10)PPG
    J. Petry (21), A. Galchenyuk (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    8:29
  2. MTL
    N. Scherbak(2)
    B. Gallagher (16), J. de la Rose (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:37

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:23NYIBrandon Davidson · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 12:41MTLPhillip Danault · Slashingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min

2nd

  • 6:57NYICal Clutterbuck · Hookingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min

3rd

  • 1:10MTLJacob de la Rose · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Drouin, 2nd 8:29 — MTL 55% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.19C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.12J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.12N. Scherbak · Missed · xG 0.12A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.11N. Scherbak · Goal · xG 0.08C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.00N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
2.41 G
All situations
3 G1.7
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
28
Shots on goal
26
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
32
11
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000010.02010—21:39
6R. PulockD000-140.22610—20:58
12J. BaileyR000030.47010—18:39
50A. PelechD000030.12300—18:36
55J. BoychukD000010.03320—18:33
14T. HickeyD011-110.01120—18:20
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.14200—17:59
91J. TavaresC000010.300005317:54
27A. LeeL000020.18300—17:47
13M. BarzalC101010.190202917:35
29B. NelsonC000010.212004317:14
88B. DavidsonD000010.01212—16:51
7J. EberleR011030.15000—16:15
16A. LaddL000000.06100—14:41
53C. CizikasC000-120.153105012:26
21C. WagnerR000010.05510—12:00
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.03722—11:23
56T. FritzC000010.07120010:04
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)26233.8851.73-1.2757:34

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).