Stars at Kings 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Dallas Stars

▸2

Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 11:33 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were DAL 28, LAK 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kari Lehtonen (18 saves, 1.000), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Jonathan Quick (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

★
K. Lehtonen18 saves, 1.000
★★
T. Seguin1 G
★★★
J. Quick26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	02	013	213	228
LAK	08	05	05	018

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

T. Seguin(30)
G. Pateryn (9)
tip-inxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
1-0
11:33
A. Radulov(22)EN
Unassisted
wristxG 0.43win prob +7 pts
2-0
19:00

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

2:51Jason Spezza · Slashingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
7:10Alexander Radulov · Illegal check to headdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
13:50Jake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by Gemel Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: LAK

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 3rd 11:33 — DAL 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att LAK

0 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.61 G
All situations: 0 G1.7; 1.71 G
Even strength: 0 G1.4; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

52%48%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 18; 63%
Faceoffs: 37%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 41
Hits: 29; 16
Blocked shots: 17; 4
Giveaways: 7; 5
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Dallas Stars skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
2D. HamhuisD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	0	—	21:40
29G. PaterynD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	3	0	—	21:34
3J. KlingbergD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	—	21:05
23E. LindellD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	2	0	—	20:22
28S. JohnsD	0	0	0	+1	5	0.13	3	3	0	—	19:50
47A. RadulovR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.66	6	1	2	100	19:04
14J. BennL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	63	19:03
91T. SeguinC	1	0	1	+1	4	0.11	1	0	0	61	18:29
17D. ShoreC	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	0	0	50	16:40
40R. ElieL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	4	0	0	—	16:24
13M. JanmarkC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	3	0	0	16:00
33M. MethotD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	15:29
12R. FaksaC	0	0	0	0	2	0.48	4	0	0	65	15:16
21A. RousselL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	5	0	0	—	14:24
18T. PitlickC	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	3	1	0	0	14:22
25B. RitchieR	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	0	0	—	09:13
90J. SpezzaC	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	2	63	09:08
46G. SmithC	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	0	1	0	0	07:57

Dallas Stars goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32K. Lehtonen(W)	18	18	0	1.000	1.66	+1.66	60:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Jan 303@0Final
Feb 222@0this game
Apr 74@2Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

3rd period

1st

Box score