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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 15:06 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 50, NYI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Jaroslav Halak stopped 50 of 50 (1.000), 3.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jaroslav Halak (50 saves, 1.000), 2. Mathew Barzal (3 A), 3. Nick Leddy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Halak50 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR015014021050
NYINYI11111618335

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(15)PPG
    N. Leddy (26), M. Barzal (44)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:53

2nd period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy (27), M. Barzal (45)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    3:57

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:42NYRBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 12:30NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 3:13NYIDennis Seidenberg · Holdingdrawn by David Desharnais2 min
  • 7:23NYRJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

3rd

  • 13:18NYIJordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 15:06 — NYI 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.46J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.13D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.09A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · Goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.00C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
3.90 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.90 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR70%30%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.81 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
50
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD000020.09310—23:04
76B. SkjeiD000020.23022—22:15
13K. HayesR000050.350103320:07
77T. DeAngeloD000-230.05000—19:24
10J. MillerC000-130.172129019:03
55N. HoldenD000-220.11120—18:58
58J. GilmourD000050.11110—18:25
36M. ZuccarelloR000-140.46300—17:58
26J. VeseyL000-150.201005016:02
93M. ZibanejadC000050.452004415:48
61R. NashL000050.64110—15:39
40M. GrabnerL000010.04100—15:38
25R. SproulD000010.08100—14:51
17J. FastR000030.3011010014:12
51D. DesharnaisC000-120.330107013:59
12P. HollandC000-110.130005013:01
95V. LettieriC000010.11210009:44
8C. McLeodL000-100.00400—09:43
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)35323.9142.57-0.4359:58

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).