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New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Jets scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 16:07 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals were close — NYR 3.3, WPG 3.1; shots on goal were NYR 28, WPG 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (37 saves, .974), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, .926), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zuccarello1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1601824328
WPGWPG111010017138

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:06
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:54

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +41 pts
    2-1
    16:07
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:17

Penalties

NYR 13 PIM·WPG 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:48NYRKevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 4:33WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 8:10WPGDustin Byfuglien · Holdingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min
  • 11:13NYRCody McLeod · Interferencedrawn by Toby Enstrom2 min
  • 13:21NYRCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Matt Hendricks5 min
  • 13:21WPGMatt Hendricks · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 16:39WPGBlake Wheeler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Henrik Lundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 0:56NYRJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 3:12NYRJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 7:42WPGNikolaj Ehlers · High stickingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 3rd 16:07 — NYR 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.25P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.23M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.20T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.20P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.16M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWPG
3.32 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.20 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR39%61%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
38
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD011+210.04000—25:09
47S. KampferD000+100.45230—22:39
61R. NashL000020.31000—20:07
55N. HoldenD011+100.00110—20:04
36M. ZuccarelloR101+150.58230—19:17
77T. DeAngeloD000-110.10010—19:07
13K. HayesR011+120.070225018:51
93M. ZibanejadC000-150.563204418:45
17J. FastR000+100.00210—17:06
10J. MillerC000000.0031410016:22
40M. GrabnerL101+130.56000—15:54
44N. PionkD000+110.04020—15:11
26J. VeseyL101+130.20000—13:54
51D. DesharnaisC011+210.192005613:00
58J. GilmourD000030.18000—12:45
12P. HollandC000000.001102209:51
95V. LettieriC000000.02110009:47
8C. McLeodL000010.02217—04:11
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)38371.9743.14+2.1460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).