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Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joakim Ryan's goal at 17:33 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were EDM 31, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Al Montoya stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.6 goals below expected; Aaron Dell stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joakim Ryan (2 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 3. Joe Pavelski (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Ryan2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Pavelski2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0939113431
SJSSJS21415311630

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:15
  2. SJS
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:21

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:30
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    8:49
  3. EDM
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    14:20
  4. EDM
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    18:02

3rd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    4-3
    1:21
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +26 pts
    4-4
    3:41
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.20win prob +41 pts
    4-5
    17:33
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.62win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    18:48

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:19SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 9:46EDMJujhar Khaira · Holdingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

3rd

  • 12:22SJSLogan Couture · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Al Montoya2 min
  • 14:15SJSBrent Burns · Broken stick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Joakim Ryan, 3rd 17:33 — SJS 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.62J. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.20J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.19T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.16J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.14K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hansen · Missed · xG 0.12D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hansen · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS6 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
3.34 G
All situations
5 G3.0
2.74 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM66%34%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
30
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
15
20
Blocked shots
21
10
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD011-110.06100—23:50
25D. NurseD000-220.11130—22:29
97C. McDavidC000-120.280105021:21
4K. RussellD011000.00260—20:24
29L. DraisaitlC112040.480004720:06
27M. LucicL000-150.54310—18:56
88B. DavidsonD101-120.14330—18:48
19P. MaroonL000-110.131105017:54
13M. CammalleriL022030.23100—15:39
81Y. AuvituD011+120.07320—15:06
55M. LetestuC000010.071103114:29
18R. StromeC000-210.080003314:17
44Z. KassianR202+130.55200—13:50
83M. BenningD000-100.02200—13:44
26I. PakarinenR000+100.02200—12:54
98J. PuljujarviR000-110.12100—12:38
16J. KhairaL000010.014023311:06
58A. SlepyshevL000-320.37120—10:39
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Montoya(L)29245.8282.35-2.6559:50

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).