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Kings at Lightning
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV FS-W, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cedric Paquette's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 70% to 84%. Expected goals were close — LAK 3.2, TBL 3.2; shots on goal were LAK 47, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 13 of 14 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 44 of 47 (.936). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (44 saves, .936), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy44 saves, .936
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK11809220347
TBLTBL21021404428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(21)
    Y. Gourde (21), T. Johnson (26)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:05
  2. LAK
    J. Brodzinski(4)
    A. Andreoff (4), N. Shore (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:02
  3. TBL
    A. Killorn(9)
    S. Stamkos (43), B. Coburn (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:45

2nd period

  1. TBL
    C. Paquette(2)
    R. Callahan (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:12
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(29)PPG
    V. Hedman (29)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    14:43

3rd period

  1. LAK
    K. Clifford(3)
    A. Kopitar (37), D. Forbort (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    3:17
  2. LAK
    C. Folin(3)
    A. Andreoff (5), N. Shore (11)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    13:05

Penalties

LAK 21 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:38TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 5:08LAKMarian Gaborik · Hookingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 10:22TBLCory Conacher · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 10:22LAKJonathan Quick · Roughingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min
  • 12:28LAKTyler Toffoli · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 14:30LAKDustin Brown · Kneeingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev5 min
  • 14:30LAKDustin Brown · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 6:34TBLMikhail Sergachev · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 10:32TBLCory Conacher · Slashingdrawn by Torrey Mitchell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalLAK goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Cedric Paquette, 2nd 3:12 — TBL 70% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.21A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06C. Paquette · Goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.05A. Sustr · Missed · xG 0.05C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.04A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.04C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sustr · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsTBL
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.10 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK51%49%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsTBL
47
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/4
21
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+140.12000—26:20
11A. KopitarC011+130.401105425:27
6J. MuzzinD000060.37200—22:31
24D. ForbortD011+210.01210—21:52
27A. MartinezD000-230.09230—20:06
73T. ToffoliC000030.33012019:15
5C. FolinD101-120.05220—17:38
19A. IafalloL000020.16010—16:55
70T. PearsonL000-140.2422010016:26
71T. MitchellC000+130.291202215:38
21N. ShoreC022000.252005013:22
17J. BrodzinskiC101050.29200013:08
9A. KempeR000-120.171002911:44
38P. LaDueD000030.08000—11:33
23D. BrownR000-110.070015—10:57
15A. AndreoffC022030.21010010:33
13K. CliffordL101+110.04400—09:42
12M. GaborikR000010.02012—07:35
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)14131.9291.92+0.9235:06
35D. Kuemper14113.7861.26-1.7423:12

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).