Skip to content
Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Devils scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 18:58 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 33, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Eddie Lack stopped 11 of 12 (.917); Craig Anderson stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11111418333
OTTOTT31621303532

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Zajac(8)
    S. Noesen (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:57
  2. OTT
    M. Hoffman(14)PPG
    M. Duchene (16), E. Karlsson (30)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    13:35
  3. OTT
    C. DiDomenico(5)PPG
    C. Ceci (8), R. Dzingel (9)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    14:33
  4. OTT
    M. Duchene(13)
    M. Hoffman (22), F. Claesson (2)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:58

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. White(1)
    T. Chabot (7), M. Duchene (17)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    8:43
  2. NJD
    T. Hall(19)PPG
    P. Zacha (12), K. Palmieri (11)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    10:54
  3. OTT
    Z. Smith(4)
    J. Pageau (10), A. Burrows (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    19:12

3rd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(11)
    P. Zacha (13), M. Wood (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    5:12

Penalties

NJD 13 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 11:55NJDBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 13:02NJDKyle Palmieri · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

2nd

  • 3:18OTTMax McCormick · Fightingdrawn by Ben Lovejoy5 min
  • 3:18NJDBen Lovejoy · Roughingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min
  • 3:18NJDBen Lovejoy · Fightingdrawn by Max McCormick5 min
  • 5:55OTTErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 10:02OTTAlexandre Burrows · Cross checkingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 10:02OTTAlexandre Burrows · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 17:07OTTZack Smith · Hookingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

3rd

  • 14:10OTTErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 14:10NJDKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 1st 18:58 — OTT 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.23M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Smith · Goal · xG 0.19M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. DiDomenico · Goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · Goal · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
2.93 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.51 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
2/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
27
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9T. HallL101040.3011010022:11
21K. PalmieriC112+150.35304020:03
45S. VatanenD000+140.34510—19:57
2J. MooreD000-200.05000—19:36
37P. ZachaC022+140.170003317:47
8W. ButcherD000+110.11020—17:40
6A. GreeneD000+100.00020—17:28
19T. ZajacC101-130.330103317:26
13N. HischierC000-120.452103016:19
28D. SeversonD000-210.00120—16:02
40B. ColemanL000-100.08502—15:36
23S. NoesenR011-100.02210—15:02
63J. BrattL000-110.06000—14:57
11B. BoyleC000040.374007614:51
25M. MuellerD000-100.02000—14:12
44M. WoodL011+100.01200—12:45
18D. StaffordR000-120.21100—12:09
12B. LovejoyD000020.03117—10:37
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Lack12111.9171.05+0.0529:31
1K. Kinkaid(L)20164.8001.46-2.5428:40

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).