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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
4
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSWA·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 7-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 6:08 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 55% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 33, PIT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 2.6 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 2 A), 2. Phil Kessel (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11221219433
PITPIT213113413739

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    P. Kessel(22)
    R. Sheahan (13), J. Guentzel (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:11
  2. PIT
    C. Hagelin(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:50
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(31)
    C. Djoos (8)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:10

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(16)PPG
    S. Crosby (40), E. Malkin (30)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    0:26
  2. WSH
    D. Orlov(7)
    L. Eller (16), M. Niskanen (11)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:08
  3. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(14)
    T. Wilson (15), A. Ovechkin (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:57

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(27)
    P. Kessel (39), O. Maatta (16)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    1:01
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(32)
    E. Kuznetsov (34), D. Orlov (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    4-4
    1:50
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(7)PPG
    K. Letang (27), R. Sheahan (14)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +25 pts
    4-5
    6:08
  4. PIT
    P. Kessel(23)
    E. Malkin (31), C. Hagelin (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    4-6
    7:59
  5. PIT
    E. Malkin(28)PPG
    S. Crosby (41), J. Guentzel (12)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    10:00

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:32PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min
  • 19:27WSHChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min

2nd

  • 12:17WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 19:40WSHT.J. Oshie · Cross checkingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 19:40PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 4:50WSHNicklas Backstrom · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 9:05WSHMadison Bowey · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 11:44PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 17:08PITCarl Hagelin · Hookingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 3rd 6:08 — PIT 55% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.21P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.20B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.18R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.14C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.14P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.05R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.05T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT7 G · 3.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
2.44 G
All situations
7 G3.9
1.94 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH27%73%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
3/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD112020.06200—23:27
2M. NiskanenD011010.02010—23:04
74J. CarlsonD000030.07130—21:43
8A. OvechkinL213+250.52200—19:51
44B. OrpikD000000.00300—18:52
65A. BurakovskyL000-140.30100—18:41
92E. KuznetsovC112+240.381005317:58
20L. EllerC011-120.152106416:44
19N. BackstromC000-140.182024416:33
77T. OshieR000000.005225016:21
43T. WilsonR011+110.12102—15:36
22M. BoweyD000020.03102—14:06
10B. ConnollyR000010.14200—13:29
29C. DjoosD011010.09000—13:27
18C. StephensonC000-110.16022012:29
83J. BeagleC000010.100105011:54
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.00610—10:00
39A. ChiassonR000010.03200—08:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)33276.8183.40-2.6047:59
31P. Grubauer651.8330.50-0.5012:01

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).