St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 12:32 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were STL 33, BOS 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (32 saves, .970), 2. David Krejci (1 G), 3. Jake Allen (43 saves, .956).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-112:32
3rd period
0-29:05
1-218:28
1-319:59
Penalties
3rd
- 8:35
Vladimir Tarasenko · Hookingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
- 9:33
Vince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
- 9:33
Tim Schaller · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 14:20
Zdeno Chara · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Krejci, 1st 12:32 — 54% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.2
- 2.41 G
- Even strength
- 1 G3.2
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 3.16
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 46
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 37
- Hits
- 30
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 14
- Giveaways
- 9
- 21
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
3this game
1@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
