New York Islanders at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Johnston's goal at 10:01 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 25, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jaroslav Halak (38 saves, .974), 2. Erik Haula (1 G), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
1-010:01
3rd period
2-08:21
2-114:53
Penalties
3rd
- 0:14
Reilly Smith · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
- 1:37
Brock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Colin Miller2 min
- 12:56
Adam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ross Johnston, 2nd 10:01 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.22 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.7
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.5
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 17
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 4
- Giveaways
- 6
- 10
- Takeaways
- 18
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
3@
6Final
2@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
