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Blue Jackets at Golden Knights
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-O·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Hunt's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 32, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (2 G), 2. James Neal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Shea Theodore (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Neal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ11417111332
VGKVGK11332025638

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:22
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Jones (23), A. Panarin (27)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:46
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    7:59
  3. VGK
    B. Hunt(1)PPG
    S. Theodore (12), J. Neal (12)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    9:47
  4. VGK
    E. Haula (18), D. Perron (28)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    12:15

3rd period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore (13), B. Hunt (10)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    9:21
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    12:53
  3. VGK
    E. Haula(16)EN
    D. Perron (29), B. Hunt (11)
    wristxG 0.40
    3-6
    18:58

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:32CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 11:02VGKColin Miller · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 7:07VGKDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 7:56CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:16VGKBrad Hunt · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 8:11VGKPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Cross checkingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 8:11CBJBoone Jenner · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 17:53CBJJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCBJ goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Hunt, 2nd 9:47 — VGK 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.40W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.16J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.14E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsVGK
2.03 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ47%53%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsVGK
32
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011+120.05450—25:05
8Z. WerenskiD000050.14112—24:13
58D. SavardD000-360.15300—22:08
7J. JohnsonD000-310.07220—21:24
9A. PanarinL011+130.43000—19:55
77J. AndersonR101-130.332024019:52
71N. FolignoL022000.134104419:01
18P. DuboisC000+140.181024018:55
10A. WennbergC011-210.095104617:56
38B. JennerC000-100.091026715:30
36J. JokinenL000+110.031006015:07
65M. NutivaaraD101+210.07010—14:51
11M. CalvertL101+120.1420010014:46
45L. SedlakC000000.021008611:38
4S. HarringtonD000+100.00240—11:15
28O. BjorkstrandR000-100.08000—10:22
14J. SchroederC000000.0010010006:32
64T. MotteC000030.06010005:50
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)37325.8652.22-2.7858:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).