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Capitals at Devils
NHL

Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Final/OTTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Taylor Hall scoring at 0:34. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 0:34 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 19, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brett Connolly (2 G), 3. Miles Wood (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Connolly2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Wood1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH15161800319
NJDNJD1122130611432

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    D. Stafford(7)
    M. Johansson (8)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:01
  2. WSH
    B. Connolly(11)
    T. Oshie (17), B. Orpik (7)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:10

2nd period

  1. NJD
    A. Greene(3)
    T. Hall (30), S. Vatanen (10)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:33
  2. NJD
    M. Wood(12)
    S. Vatanen (11), N. Hischier (20)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    10:55
  3. WSH
    D. Orlov(6)
    A. Chiasson (3), J. Beagle (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    11:09

3rd period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(12)
    E. Kuznetsov (29), T. Wilson (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +39 pts
    3-3
    16:12

Overtime

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(17)
    S. Vatanen (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:34

Penalties

WSH 11 PIM·NJD 25 PIM

1st

  • 2:12NJDSami Vatanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:31WSHJay Beagle · Trippingdrawn by Drew Stafford2 min

2nd

  • 3:46NJDDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:33NJDBrian Boyle · Instigatordrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:33NJDBrian Boyle · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 8:33NJDBrian Boyle · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:33WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Brian Boyle5 min
  • 14:26WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:37NJDTravis Zajac · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

3rd

  • 8:09NJDTravis Zajac · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 11:47WSHAlex Chiasson · Trippingdrawn by Will Butcher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, OT 0:34 — NJD 51% → 100%

Game flow

expected goals, added up
WSH 2.35NJD 3.17dots are goals · empty-net attempts left out
PeriodWSH xGAttGNJD xGAttG
1st0.69911.04191
2nd0.921111.50192
3rd0.721110.51100
OT0.02100.1411

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.37B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.33A. Greene · Goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.14D. Stafford · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.11S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH37%63%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Best chances

by our xG
  1. NJDN. Hischier2nd 2:32 · backhand · 10 ftMissed37%
  2. NJDB. Boyle1st 17:20 · snap · 11 ftSaved33%
  3. WSHB. Connolly1st 12:10 · snap · 10 ftGoal21%
  4. WSHE. Kuznetsov2nd 9:24 · snap · 15 ft · PPSaved21%
  5. WSHD. Smith-Pelly3rd 4:36 · snap · 9 ftSaved20%
  6. NJDA. Greene2nd 3:33 · snap · 10 ftGoal19%

The chance each attempt scores, from where and how it was taken. Empty-net attempts are left out.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
19
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/5
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
25
26
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+120.23110—24:04
8A. OvechkinL000-120.15402—21:48
9D. OrlovD101-220.09220—21:41
19N. BackstromC000-110.161006521:12
2M. NiskanenD000-120.07110—20:40
20L. EllerC000000.171003118:21
92E. KuznetsovC011010.211002217:52
44B. OrpikD011000.00320—17:24
77T. OshieR011000.000003317:03
10B. ConnollyR202+140.72100—16:05
29C. DjoosD000+100.01210—14:53
13J. VranaL000000.00100—14:34
43T. WilsonR011+100.13305—13:53
22M. BoweyD000010.07000—12:59
25D. Smith-PellyR000-210.20400—12:35
18C. StephensonC000000.0000010011:12
83J. BeagleC011020.051024009:53
39A. ChiassonR011010.08002—09:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(O)32284.8753.17-0.8360:34

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).