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New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Damon Severson's goal at 12:58 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 42, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 38 of 42 (.905). Three stars: 1. Damon Severson (2 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    D. Severson2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD113317012442
NYINYI190809126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(26)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:39
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    15:20

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:58
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    14:24
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    18:20

Penalties

NJD 9 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:01NJDMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 12:18NYIserved by A. Lee · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:10NYIAlan Quine · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 20:00NJDAndy Greene · Fightingdrawn by Brock Nelson5 min
  • 20:00NYIBrock Nelson · Fightingdrawn by Andy Greene5 min

2nd

  • 2:14NJDJohn Moore · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 10:05NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Damon Severson, 2nd 12:58 — NJD 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.20M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.15S. Prince · On goal · xG 0.14R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07S. Prince · Missed · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.00N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
3.84 G
All situations
1 G2.3
3.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD74%26%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
42
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
12
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD011+140.11150—21:11
28D. SeversonD202+250.30100—21:07
9T. HallL101+270.69010—19:47
2J. MooreD000020.05102—19:31
6A. GreeneD000030.31005—18:24
18D. StaffordR000-120.17010—18:09
12B. LovejoyD011+140.10220—17:40
8W. ButcherD000000.08000—17:29
19T. ZajacC000-100.000105617:14
13N. HischierC000+220.070002917:10
63J. BrattL022+100.00000—16:23
37P. ZachaC000+110.300005516:19
21K. PalmieriC101030.35200015:48
11B. BoyleC000010.092006713:25
90M. JohanssonL011-120.2401010013:25
44M. WoodL000030.47302—13:08
23S. NoesenR011+220.30010—10:44
39B. GibbonsC011+110.15010009:06
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(W)26251.9622.28+1.2860:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).