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Golden Knights at Blackhawks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 13:53 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were VGK 43, CHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected; Jeff Glass stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G, 2 A), 2. Vinnie Hinostroza (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    V. Hinostroza1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK22111428543
CHICHI11021319432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    4:44
  2. VGK
    R. Smith (22), N. Schmidt (16)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:49
  3. CHI
    B. Saad (9), J. Toews (16)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:01

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith (23), N. Schmidt (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:54
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    7:53
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:07

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    0:30
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    5:33
  3. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +38 pts
    5-4
    13:53

Penalties

VGK 9 PIM·CHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:41CHICody Franson · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 11:31VGKDeryk Engelland · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min

2nd

  • 1:26CHINick Schmaltz · Interferencedrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 6:25CHIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Luca Sbisa5 min
  • 6:25VGKLuca Sbisa · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min

3rd

  • 2:39VGKTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalVGK goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 13:53 — VGK 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.39J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.17T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.17J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.16D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09P. Sharp · Goal · xG 0.08T. Wingels · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Franson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 3.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCHI
3.85 G
All situations
4 G3.2
3.45 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK58%42%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCHI
43
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
33
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
4
4
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD022+160.21400—23:36
27S. TheodoreD000050.62110—22:04
5D. EngellandD000010.03322—22:00
3B. McNabbD000010.01500—20:23
6C. MillerD000040.29610—19:30
71W. KarlssonC112+440.301006318:00
57D. PerronL011-200.091003317:13
19R. SmithR123+410.24000—16:53
81J. MarchessaultR112+440.220108016:30
89A. TuchR101+230.3232010016:30
21C. EakinC101+120.132002515:26
56E. HaulaL000-330.591103315:18
18J. NealL000-410.20000—14:33
13B. LeipsicL000010.02000—13:03
40R. CarpenterC000-120.181102012:33
92T. NosekL000020.051025012:15
47L. SbisaD000000.00045—10:49
28W. CarrierL000-130.28400—09:27
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)32284.8753.18-0.8259:57

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).