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Predators at Coyotes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-A, FS-TN·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Christian Fischer scoring at 2:19. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Fischer's goal at 2:19 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 39, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Christian Fischer (1 G), 2. Anthony Duclair (1 G), 3. Antti Raanta (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Fischer1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Duclair1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH0171711401239
ARIARI06181813325

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    A. Duclair(8)
    J. Martinook (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    12:41
  2. NSH
    R. Ellis(1)
    S. Hartnell (4), C. Sissons (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    19:51

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    0:08
  2. ARI
    N. Cousins(5)PPG
    J. Demers (10), A. Goligoski (17)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +41 pts
    2-2
    17:11

Overtime

  1. ARI
    C. Fischer(11)
    J. Chychrun (5), D. Stepan (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:19

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:26ARIDerek Stepan · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

2nd

  • 8:28NSHRyan Johansen · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

3rd

  • 5:44ARINick Cousins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:12NSHAustin Watson · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNSH goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Fischer, OT 2:19 — ARI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.33J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.19C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.18A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.15C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.14J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.00C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsARI
2.82 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH64%36%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsARI
39
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
25
5
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000010.03110—24:07
14M. EkholmD000060.37040—23:13
76P. SubbanD000-130.12100—22:11
25A. EmelinD000+100.02410—20:07
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.12100—18:30
22K. FialaL000+140.48000—17:30
92R. JohansenC000-120.160022517:21
4R. EllisD101020.12140—17:20
8K. TurrisC000+130.190105417:09
10C. SissonsC011030.340008615:53
15C. SmithC101+150.51310015:46
19C. JarnkrokC000000.001005015:33
46P. AbergL000020.06100—15:32
13N. BoninoC000000.000205714:27
7Y. WeberD000+100.04110—13:40
17S. HartnellL011020.05110—11:58
20M. SalomakiR000010.04300—11:40
51A. WatsonL000030.18002—11:01
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)25223.8802.04-0.9662:19

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).