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Kings at Flames
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 14:07 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 31, CGY 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 37 of 41 (.902); Mike Smith stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Micheal Ferland (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Jankowski (1 G), 3. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Ferland1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Jankowski1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21505111331
CGYCGY01541709441

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    D. Forbort(1)
    A. Kopitar (26), T. Pearson (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:47
  2. LAK
    T. Pearson(7)
    D. Brown (17)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:15

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Ferland(16)
    J. Gaudreau (31), S. Monahan (17)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:34
  2. CGY
    T. Brouwer(3)
    M. Giordano (11), M. Tkachuk (15)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:30
  3. CGY
    M. Jankowski(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    14:07
  4. CGY
    S. Monahan(19)
    J. Gaudreau (32), M. Ferland (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    19:15

3rd period

  1. LAK
    T. Pearson(8)
    D. Doughty (23), J. Muzzin (20)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    3-4
    18:29

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:47LAKJake Muzzin · High stickingdrawn by Matt Stajan2 min
  • 12:53LAKTorrey Mitchell · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 3:54LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 10:47CGYBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 14:31LAKTrevor Lewis · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 0:26CGYMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 14:07 — CGY 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.28M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.22M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.21M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.19S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.17S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.10D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.10G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.10M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 4.2 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
2.03 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK19%81%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 4.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
41
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+220.06010—30:37
6J. MuzzinD011+140.15002—24:06
27A. MartinezD000-220.03030—23:50
11A. KopitarC011+220.531005322:26
23D. BrownR011+310.091103319:55
24D. ForbortD101-120.12200—19:44
70T. PearsonL213+240.27020—19:43
73T. ToffoliC000040.310005018:09
12M. GaborikR000000.02010—16:14
22T. LewisC000-110.091027514:26
9A. KempeR000010.050026712:48
21N. ShoreC000-110.090102212:43
56K. MacDermidL000-110.02210—11:36
71T. MitchellC000-200.002122511:11
7O. FantenbergD000-100.00020—10:13
15A. AndreoffC000-220.050005009:14
13K. CliffordL000-140.11000—08:40
36J. JokinenL000-200.000003308:32
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)41374.9024.12+0.1257:53

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).