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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
St. Louis Blues
▸2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 5:59 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 33, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Carter Hutton stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hutton (32 saves, .970), 2. Alexander Steen (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Hutton32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK09111013133
STLSTL114012113239

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    A. Steen(5)
    B. Schenn (25), C. Parayko (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:35

2nd period

  1. VGK
    E. Haula(15)
    J. Neal (11), D. Perron (23)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:23

3rd period

  1. STL
    P. Stastny(8)
    V. Sobotka (13), C. Parayko (19)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:59

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:35VGKJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 11:14VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Magnus Paajarvi2 min

3rd

  • 10:29STLVladimir Sobotka · Hookingdrawn by James Neal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 3rd 5:59 — STL 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.22V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.18D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.15P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.13A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK34%66%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6C. MillerD000050.27230—22:48
88N. SchmidtD000+110.05010—20:57
18J. NealL011+150.38100—20:20
15J. MerrillD000000.00002—19:51
57D. PerronL011+130.091102519:42
27S. TheodoreD000-200.00010—19:36
56E. HaulaL101+120.190105419:21
5D. EngellandD000-220.05020—18:57
3B. McNabbD000+100.00130—17:56
71W. KarlssonC000000.020004416:39
81J. MarchessaultR000020.09010—16:22
89A. TuchR000040.27202—16:09
19R. SmithR000040.34010—16:08
21C. EakinC000000.001104215:33
13B. LeipsicL000010.05000—12:43
92T. NosekL000-220.16000—09:27
24O. LindbergL000-210.051105008:36
28W. CarrierL000-210.03300—06:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)39372.9493.01+1.0158:01

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).