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Blackhawks at Flames
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
Final/OTTV WGN, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Mark Giordano scoring at 0:52. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Giordano's goal at 0:52 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 37, CGY 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jeff Glass stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.5 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI0721811200337
CGYCGY1192120612439

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(9)PPG
    S. Monahan (16), M. Giordano (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    19:58

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(10)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (29), M. Backlund (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    4:42
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(18)
    J. Gaudreau (30), T. Brodie (16)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    5:47
  3. CHI
    J. Oesterle(2)
    B. Saad (7), V. Hinostroza (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    8:37
  4. CHI
    J. Toews(10)
    J. Oesterle (4)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:33

3rd period

  1. CHI
    B. Saad(12)
    J. Toews (14)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:14

Overtime

  1. CGY
    M. Giordano(7)
    M. Backlund (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:52

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:30CHITommy Wingels · High stickingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

2nd

  • 4:12CHIJordan Oesterle · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:31CGYGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 6:52CGYJaromir Jagr · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Giordano, OT 0:52 — CGY 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.14D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.14M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.00M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
3.23 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI63%37%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
37
Shots on goal
39
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+120.12010—28:29
82J. OesterleD112+250.13112—25:40
88P. KaneR000-150.37000—22:06
20B. SaadL112+230.440005021:27
19J. ToewsC112+140.540106021:08
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.090105420:12
38R. HartmanR000+120.162205018:36
7B. SeabrookD000000.00000—18:08
5C. MurphyD000020.07410—17:53
14R. PanikR000+100.33100—15:58
11C. FransonD000+140.14020—14:54
12A. DeBrincatR000020.47000—13:41
6M. KempnyD000-120.08000—13:31
48V. HinostrozaC011+220.060105012:47
64D. KampfC000000.090104311:16
57T. WingelsC000000.003025008:54
17L. BoumaL000000.000005008:53
40J. HaydenC000020.122105008:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Glass(O)39354.8972.46-1.5460:25

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).