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Islanders at Jets
NHL

New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV MSG+ 2, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 14:46 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were NYI 44, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 33 of 37 (.892); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (42 saves, .955), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Lowry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck42 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01911916244
WPGWPG212012213437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    S. Matthias(1)
    A. Lowry (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:32
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(10)
    K. Connor (11), P. Laine (12)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:57

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(23)
    J. Tavares (28), J. Bailey (38)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:46

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(12)
    P. Laine (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:01
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(8)PPG
    J. Trouba (11), B. Wheeler (34)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    12:03
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(24)
    R. Pulock (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:28

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:29NYIRyan Pulock · High stickingdrawn by Matt Hendricks2 min
  • 9:36WPGPatrik Laine · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 4:38WPGMathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 10:10NYIJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 19:10NYIserved by J. Eberle · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 7:50WPGBlake Wheeler · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 11:13NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 12:57WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 13:50NYIJosh Bailey · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 2nd 14:46 — NYI 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Little · Missed · xG 0.24M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.21S. Matthias · Goal · xG 0.20B. Little · Missed · xG 0.20B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.17J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.11T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08S. Matthias · On goal · xG 0.07B. Little · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hendricks · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01B. Little · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWPG
3.92 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.72 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI56%44%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWPG
44
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
16
23
Blocked shots
21
12
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-200.00020—21:14
6R. PulockD011-150.28202—20:50
4D. SeidenbergD000010.04210—18:21
12J. BaileyR011+110.02022—18:18
50A. PelechD000010.03310—18:14
16A. LaddL000-171.12120—17:49
91J. TavaresC011+220.281124517:49
42S. MayfieldD000010.02150—17:34
13M. BarzalC000-130.090024417:20
14T. HickeyD000+110.25130—17:15
27A. LeeL202+180.79000—16:14
53C. CizikasC000020.121106315:29
7J. EberleR000-120.08010—15:27
29B. NelsonC000-240.471105014:58
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.29120—13:14
11S. PrinceL000-130.05010—12:53
25J. ChimeraL000010.0220010011:54
8S. BernierR000-100.00200—07:38
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)37334.8923.52-0.4858:39

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).