Skip to content
Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV FS-A, ALT2·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Goligoski's goal at 10:34 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were ARI 27, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Goligoski (1 G), 2. Antti Raanta (25 saves, .962), 3. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, .889).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Goligoski1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Varlamov24 saves, .889

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1121817327
COLCOL1805013126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    T. Rieder(6)
    B. Perlini (5), J. Chychrun (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:54
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(11)
    E. Johnson (9), G. Landeskog (13)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:56

2nd period

  1. ARI
    A. Goligoski(4)
    C. Keller (17)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:34

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(1)
    J. Archibald (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    15:35

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:41ARILawson Crouse · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lindholm2 min
  • 19:05COLMatt Nieto · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:13COLErik Johnson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:37ARINick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 5:59COLNathan MacKinnon · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 8:49COLNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Goligoski, 2nd 10:34 — ARI 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.21J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.06S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.04N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.00B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 1.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.23 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI60%40%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
16
0
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000050.08200—25:10
55J. DemersD000010.01130—22:38
21D. StepanC000+120.050005322:33
33A. GoligoskiD101+210.13110—20:22
6J. ChychrunD011+230.21010—19:22
9C. KellerR011+110.07000—16:51
18C. DvorakC000+110.270204716:47
36C. FischerR000+130.33010—16:26
16M. DomiC000+140.431005416:22
45J. ArchibaldR011+110.03300—16:02
2L. SchennD000000.01300—15:14
8T. RiederL101+110.1511010014:41
11B. PerliniL011+110.02000—14:00
44K. ConnautonD000000.00020—13:24
48J. MartinookL000-100.002003313:01
67L. CrouseL101+110.20002—11:59
25N. CousinsC000-110.040022510:55
10A. DuclairL000-110.17000—10:21
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)26251.9621.67+0.6759:52

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).