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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Los Angeles Kings
▸2
Final/OTTV FS-W, ALT·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1 in overtime, Dustin Brown scoring at 0:44. The Avalanche scored first; the Kings answered. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Brown's goal at 0:44 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 32, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (1 G), 2. Alec Martinez (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Martinez1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL01111001100132
LAKLAK050911112227

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(14)
    N. MacKinnon (25), M. Rantanen (20)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:14

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Martinez(4)
    T. Mitchell (2), A. Andreoff (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +32 pts
    1-1
    10:36

Overtime

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(13)
    D. Doughty (21), A. Kopitar (23)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:44

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:21COLserved by S. Andrighetto · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:12LAKJake Muzzin · Holding the stickdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 8:16COLAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 12:45LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

3rd

  • 6:48LAKAndy Andreoff · Roughingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
  • 6:48COLNail Yakupov · Roughingdrawn by Andy Andreoff2 min
  • 11:33COLNail Yakupov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Dustin Brown, OT 0:44 — LAK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.21A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.19D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.16D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.09M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.09M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.08D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Andreoff · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
1.91 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL39%61%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
32
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD000-160.20110—26:23
12P. NemethD000-120.03060—22:19
16N. ZadorovD000020.06520—22:01
44M. BarberioD000000.05030—21:21
92G. LandeskogL101+120.080005020:52
29N. MacKinnonC011040.280105919:52
96M. RantanenR011020.25020—19:20
14B. ComeauL000030.063006019:18
34C. SoderbergC000010.141105517:01
83M. NietoL000000.00120—15:47
37J. CompherL000-140.301202214:39
54A. LindholmD000000.00310—12:48
49S. GirardD000+100.00010—11:58
10S. AndrighettoR000-110.05200—11:18
13A. KerfootC000010.201026011:05
17T. JostC000010.13100010:14
22C. WilsonC000-100.00000009:32
64N. YakupovR000030.04104—08:24
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(O)27252.9262.49+0.4960:44

Season series

LAK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).