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Capitals at Stars
NHL

Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Dallas Stars
3
Final/OTTV FS-SW, NBCSWA+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime, Andre Burakovsky scoring at 1:51. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 1:51 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 28, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Ben Bishop stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alexander Radulov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dmitry Orlov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Burakovsky2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH191511212428
DALDAL11111411001336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(2)
    B. Connolly (3), L. Eller (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:35
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(14)PPG
    J. Klingberg (24), A. Radulov (17)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    15:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    G. Smith(4)
    D. Hamhuis (8), J. Spezza (8)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:09
  2. WSH
    D. Orlov(4)
    N. Backstrom (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(12)
    G. Pateryn (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    2-3
    15:53
  2. WSH
    B. Connolly(7)
    A. Burakovsky (5), L. Eller (11)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +39 pts
    3-3
    16:34

Overtime

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(3)
    J. Carlson (23)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:51

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·DAL 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:31DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 4:31DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 4:31WSHJakub Vrana · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 15:06DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:06WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 15:06WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 18:49DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 1:11WSHserved by B. Connolly · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 1:57WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 1:57DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:23WSHJohn Carlson · Holdingdrawn by Gemel Smith2 min
  • 19:05DALAlexander Radulov · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 7:02WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Jason Spezza2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWSH goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, OT 1:51 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Smith · Goal · xG 0.20T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.12A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.09M. Hanzal · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hanzal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.04S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsDAL
2.84 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH46%54%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
19
21
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+230.06042—26:52
9D. OrlovD101010.12210—23:39
2M. NiskanenD000020.07320—23:10
19N. BackstromC011030.261003820:49
8A. OvechkinL000040.47110—19:51
92E. KuznetsovC000-120.222103319:38
77T. OshieR000010.202306719:08
44B. OrpikD000000.00420—17:35
20L. EllerC022+320.152003315:03
43T. WilsonR000010.0710810014:40
65A. BurakovskyL213+330.37000—13:18
29C. DjoosD000+110.05220—13:09
83J. BeagleC000010.170006513:03
10B. ConnollyR112+120.16020—12:54
39A. ChiassonR000010.13310—12:44
22M. BoweyD000000.10020—11:42
13J. VranaL000-110.18102—11:36
18C. StephensonC000000.00000009:57
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)36333.9173.05+0.0561:51

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).